vault-sync: 2026-10-17 12:01 (jimmy)

memory-systems/agent-os/dream/insights.md

@@ -51,9 +51,7 @@
 - **Kalshi fees (verified 2026-10-10):** taker = `round_up(0.07·C·P·(1−P))`, charged only when you take. **Maker fee = 0 on ~12,500 of 12,699 series** (only ~129 series tax resting orders, quarter rate; cancelling free; 14 niche series fee-free). Polymarket **US** is a separate, thinner, full-KYC venue with contested CA status; Kalshi CA is clean (CFTC DCM).
 - **Headless (`-q`/`--oneshot`) approval gate:** profiles with `approvals.mode` unset default to `manual` → no user → dangerous-pattern commands (`python -c`, `execute_code`, `rm -r`, `kill -9`, heredocs) time out to `BLOCKED`. The `execute_code` fallback is gated too → retry loop that burns context. Fix: `approvals.mode: smart` (+ `command_allowlist` for scoped safe patterns) + tool-loop guardrails (`hard_stop_after: 5`). Cron-safe only after allowlist/config applied.
 - **Cron/unattended tool limits:** `python -c`, `execute_code`, and heredoc script execution are blocked in unattended (-q) runs unless allowlisted; `write_file` refuses overwrite without a prior read (pagination paradox); `terminal` foreground cap 600s (else promoted to tracked background).
-- **killcorpus** (`C:\Users\fight\Projects\killcorpus`): paper-only. Spec `KXBTCD-lag-vs-spot` v1.1.1 (taker primary; maker secondary pending fill model). Harness `harness/paper_trader_instrumented.py` — instrumented (book_read_ts, ntp_offset_ms, spot_age_ms, realized_slippage), variance gate σ²=0.25, latency gates 1000/500/250 ms, fixed N=967 post-registration. Offline selftest green; live feed→fill→settlement path **wired and proven** (settle-through proof 2026-10-11: 40 signals / 5 trades / 5 settled, clock off). Gitea `Tony_tech/killcorpus` push superseded by Contents-API content-mirror. Reference (read-only, do not edit): `polyterm/paper_trader.py`. **Live eval launched 2026-10-11T16:24:28Z** (REG_TS). Supervision: cron `1da28c73cd5f` (15 m, supervisor) + `c7ea39ffb05a` (1 h, health check). Policy: **hold until N=967**; interim K1 non-actionable; only pre-registered early stops (sustained `measurement_artifact`, variance breach → UNDERPOWERED) may halt. Fixes shipped: `b833e3c` (smoke-arg parser), `45f94a5` (DB replay of `counted` on startup). Gitea `Tony_tech/killcorpus` **content-mirrored via Contents API, no `origin`** (git-level link deliberately held). Schema drift seen once: DB `signals` table lacked `book_read_ts_ms` the writer needs — deployed DB and writer must be reconciled at launch. **2026-10-13 status:** counted **316/967**, mean +0.0033, realized variance 0.1557 (σ² basis 0.25), one-sided LB −0.0332 → K1 `KILL` **interim, not decisive until N=967**; rate 6.1 markets/hr → **ETA ~Oct 18**; one process all day, no lock errors, log appending. **2026-10-14 status:** 354/967, mean +0.0015, variance 0.1529 (basis 0.25), LB −0.0327 — still interim. `logBytes=1,688,146` was unchanged across health reports; the supervisor repeatedly withheld restart with “existing process, or check unavailable.” Treat eval liveness as unresolved until a process check can prove absence; never infer a safe restart from a flat log alone. **2026-10-15 status: the repo `C:\Users\fight\Projects\killcorpus` no longer exists on disk (only `04_projects/killcorpus` Obsidian notes remain) and no eval process is alive** — the long-running eval was removed/relocated (external stop during video work, not a supervisor defect). Supervisor `1da28c73cd5f` + health `c7ea39ffb05a` are now **orphaned** and will keep alerting "restart withheld" uselessly until Tony says what to do (retire / repoint / restore-from-mirror).
-- **Agent-loop roles:** planner=Proposer, reviewer=Critic, builder=Executor, jimmy=Recorder. Reviewer residual risk on claim 002: primary and pessimistic fill models *share the same depth/queue observation error*.
-- **killcorpus terminal path — READY (2026-10-12).** Claim 001 (taker) live and untouched all day: 1 process, 0 lock errors, `reg_state.json` created_iso unchanged; counted 66 → 161/967 (~5.4 settled/hr → ~6 days to N=967); interim K1 ignored. Claim 002 (maker / liquidity provision) spec **PASS** after 3 review rounds (`specs/maker-liquidity-provision.spec.yaml`), then **harness machinery built and independently re-verified** (`20bba97`, selftest 43/43) — but the **live data pipeline is NOT wired** (fee→whitelist freeze, book prints/depth/queue, settlement fetch, realized-vol K5); declared machinery-only, not fabricated. `seeded-basket` claim still **blocked on its text** (never paraphrased). Autopsy contract: template `b4eb82c`, schema+drift-proof validator `8050669`, changelog `43fb179`, 3/3 synthetic states schema-clean (`96585df`). Matched-lag counterfactual at n=66: 58/66 survive a 166 ms lag, ~12% exist only un-lagged → *"WEAKENED — measurement-artifact suspect"* (interim, not a gate). Hand-off simulation + `docs/terminal-path-readiness.md` signed; superseded handoff docs deleted, `docs/` = `killcorpus-status.md` + `operating-manual.md`.
+- **Agent-loop roles:** planner=Proposer, reviewer=Critic, builder=Executor, jimmy=Recorder. Independent engines per role; a critic that proposed the claim shares its blind spots.
 - **brag / MiArc video pipeline — verified gotchas** (2026-10-12). Hyperframes' stacked config: **`data-automation` volume lane supersedes `data-volume`** — setting the "obvious" one silently does nothing (cause of the music-drowns-VO bug). **Animated film grain is a bitrate trap**: static grain took the file 101 MB → 14.7 MB with no visible loss. SVG **`scaleX` scales about user-space origin** → the arc collapsed to the left; fix with `svgOrigin`. Local voice = **Kokoro venv at `C:/Users/fight/.venvs/kokoro`** (`am_michael` male / `af_heart` female); narration must be per-line loudness-normalized (`loudnorm` under-corrects short clips). System Chrome is broken on this box → use Hyperframes' managed headless shell. Verify pacing (static-hold), mix separation, voice presence (cross-correlation r), and encode size *on the delivered file*.
 - **Prop 39 political explainer video (2026-10-15, in progress).** Project `C:\video\prop39` (Remotion, from `video-stack\template`). Single source of truth = `C:\video\STACK.md` (= `Video Stack/Full Stack Spec.md` in vault) — it wins over any older doc. 9-scene / 97.3s build, music beds A/B/C × landscape + vertical. Voice = Qwen3-TTS "Prop 38 Voice B" (consented human ref `C:\tts\voices\user_announcer_ref.wav`). Music = ACE-Step 1.5 (`C:\Users\fight\Projects\ACE-Step-1.5`, isolated py3.12, CUDA 12.8, gradio :7860), 93s instrumental beds time-stretched (atempo) to the voice tail. Loudness spec bar = **−16 LUFS ±1, TP ≤ −1.5 dBTP**, AAC 192k 48kHz; drafts were mixed ≈ −18.6 LUFS (~2 LU under — reconcile before final master). QA stack: ffprobe + ebur128 + Whisper ASR diff + contact-sheet vision. One open item blocking final = exact "Paid for by" committee name (placeholder "SPONSOR DISCLOSURE PENDING · DRAFT ONLY"). Workflow = serial: baseline Bed A landscape, one fix per pass. Two pending Tony calls: stop 2nd model LFM2.5-2.6B on :1920 (shares 3060 12GB w/ Qwen)? fix local `C:\llama\restore_llama_servers.bat` to start Qwen only?
 - **Provider fallback incident (2026-10-12):** `deepseek/deepseek-v4-flash-0731` (routeapi) went unavailable on billing/quota; role profiles silently failed over to Qwen on the brother-5090 rig for ~18 min. Check the profiles' actual model on health checks.
@@ -66,16 +64,11 @@
 
 ## 🧵 Open Threads
 
-- Trace-fix (builder/reviewer `approvals.mode: smart` + guardrails + timeout 300) written, unapplied — awaiting Tony's approval. See [[../04_projects/trace-review-bot/2026-10-10-trace-analysis-and-fix]].
-- killcorpus eval **GONE from disk (2026-10-15)**: repo `C:\Users\fight\Projects\killcorpus` no longer exists; no eval process alive. Only `04_projects/killcorpus` Obsidian notes remain. Supervisor `1da28c73cd5f` + health `c7ea39ffb05a` are orphaned and will keep alerting. **Tony's call:** retire both crons / repoint to a new path / restore from the Gitea Contents mirror. No restart taken (HARD RULE held — absence was never positively confirmed by the process check, which returned empty/withheld).
-- killcorpus **terminal path READY (2026-10-12)** — the loop will not idle at N=967. Autopsy template + drift-proof validator + 3 synthetic dry-runs + hand-off simulation all done and signed; claim 002 (maker) spec PASS, harness machinery built (live feed NOT wired — held pending explicit green-light); `seeded-basket` blocked on its text.
-- killcorpus **open items**: git-level link (`origin`) held — decide at first autopsy or sooner; maker live-feed wiring held for green-light; superseded handoff docs were **deleted 2026-10-12** (`docs/` now = `killcorpus-status.md` + `operating-manual.md`).
+- Trace-fix **APPLIED 2026-10-17** (builder + reviewer): `approvals.single_query_mode: approve` is what actually unblocks `-q` — `mode: smart` alone was proven insufficient; plus `hard_stop_enabled: true` and `terminal.timeout: 300`. Verified live on both profiles. Configs backed up as `config.yaml.bak-20261017`. See [[../04_projects/trace-review-bot/2026-10-10-trace-analysis-and-fix]] §6.
 - Dream Mode live as of 2026-10-10 (skill + `skill_review.py` + 2 AM cron + `dream/`). Note for 10-12 = third run.
 - **OpenCode + DeepSeek — PENDING Tony (opened 2026-10-13 19:16).** Needs: (a) which DeepSeek as default — `v4.1-flash` (matches Hermes default), `v4-pro`, `r1`, or all three with none set; (b) go / key-only / show-diff-first. Exact diff is recorded under 🛠️ Technical Notes. No writes made.
-- **killcorpus "ready for capital" gate — offered 2026-10-13, unanswered.** Draft a formal in-repo gate spec (doc only: K1–K5 at pre-registered N → matched-lag clean → replication on a second regime + sample → live-fill-validated execution path with verified fee schedule → risk limits + kill-switch → capped live tranche with pre-registered stop)? Or keep the corpus paper-only with no written gate?
-- **killcorpus minor open item:** `equity` + `stats` tables declared but never written (variance logged textually). Fix at a natural gap vs after N=967 — Tony's call.
-- **Search OS Phase 5 authenticity gap (2026-10-14):** the `example.com`/`test` report's Reddit/Quora drafts use unsupported first-person resident/expert personas despite placeholder factual fields. No publishing is evidenced. Add a source-and-authorization gate before drafts are treated as publishable.
-- **Sorter cron gap (open ≥2 reports):** the daily Sorter triage reads `00_system/user-profile.md`, which does not exist (vault root is `C:\Users\fight\Documents\Obsidian Vault`). Create the file or repoint the skill.
+- **Search OS authenticity gap — FIXED (2026-10-17).** `search_os.py` now runs every draft through `apply_authenticity_gate`: first-party personas (`business_owner`, `brand`) are publishable; third-party personas (`local_resident`, `industry_expert`) are blocked unless a real person is recorded in `search_os/search_os_authorizations.json`. Blocked drafts render with ⛔ + reason, and the publishing queue reports the state per draft. Verified: 2/4 publishable on the `example.com` fixture, and an authorization record flips a blocked draft to publishable. (Same lesson as the crowd-sourced review problem: a first-person claim needs a person.)
+- **Sorter cron gap — FIXED (2026-10-17).** The `{{meta}}` role token in `Meta/vault-map.md` pointed at `00_system`, but every crew file the agents read (`user-profile.md`, `vault-structure.md`, `tag-taxonomy.md`, `states/`, `health-reports/`) lives in `Meta/`. Repointed the token to `Meta`; verified with a live Sorter run (`TOKEN=Meta`, `NAME=Tony`).
 - **Duplicate skill:** `test-driven-development` exists twice at similarity 1.00 (`software-development/` and `software-development/agent-skills/`). Proposed for consolidation; not merged unattended.
 - **Webhook sessions are tool-restricted (2026-10-16):** no terminal, no file I/O, no private-network web access. Inbound bridge messages that require local action (Gitea post, file read, shell) will fail in a webhook context. Transport verification (receipt) works; action verification does not. Fix: route action-requiring messages to a full-tool session.
 - **AgentOS git mailbox (`C:\Users\fight\AgentOS\agent-comms`):** 8 stale outbox messages (0001–0008, research-loop era) remain `status: pending`. Grok Bot bridge test (2026-10-16) confirmed receipt path works; Gitea comment post was never completed (tool gap, not transport failure).